NE -2.5: lets make this clear both teams have big problems and flaws so this is about the lesser of those issues. Coaching and QB play is where we see those huge advantages for NE. Add to it the revenge of SB loss to this same Giants team. Pats have won 10 in a row since losing to the Giants, and Pats will win this one by 6. 5 star play
Under 55.5 NYG/NE: only 5 sbowls have played over this total and the week off never helps. Slow start keeps this under the total. 4 star play
Over 56 yards Green/Ellis: giants use speed to cover up the light D line, and Belachik is not afraid to grind out this win. Pats ran on much better run defense of BALT last time out and think we see G-Ellis with at least 20+ yard runs. 4.5 star play
Brady over 25.5: most of pats passing yards are 10 yard and less passes and with Gaints pass rush will see even more than usual. Think Brady gets more like 33 receptions. 4 star play