Enjoy our breakdown on our hot and cold pitchers which will give you a look at two featured hot pitchers going on the current day along with a struggling pitcher featured that I believe will come with a solid start. Wednesday's line up has a total of 5 hot pitchers with ERA's under 3.00 on the season and 3 cold starters with ERA's over 8.00!
Hot Starters:
Matt Garza (4-1, 35 IP, 2.06 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 34 K'S)
Garza has cooled off a bit in his last few starts as he gave up 5 ER one start ago but then came back with 1 ER in 6 IP in the next. He will go up against Cliff Lee making his 2nd start since coming off his injury. Lee showed no rust in his first start going 7 IP and giving up 0 ER. It will be a little different against a Rays team that has been solid hitting .309 and scoring 6.85 R/9 in their last 5 vs. LHP.
Garza has two starts on the year away with a 0.56 ERA and has not started vs. the Mariners since 2008 where he struggled. He has 4 career starts vs. the Mariners and has just 17.2 IP giving up 34 hits and 18 ER. Both teams are different now, and Garza has clearly improved. I still would not bet on this game if you ask me unless you go with the under which is 18-7-1 in the Mariners last 26home games. With two solid starters going it might be the right play considering the Mariners are hitting just .212 and scoring 2.45 runs per 9 in their last 5 vs. RHP.
Colby Lewis (3-0, 32.2 IP, 2.75 ERA 1.10 WHIP, 38 K's)
Lewis is not a young pitcher by any means but you may not have heard of him in quite some time. Fact of the matter is, is he has three games with 10 strike outs and he's striking out more batters than innings pitched so this could be a good sign for him to continue putting up these numbers. He has not started against the A's since 2004 so we can throw out those stats. He is coming off a complete game in his last start so again I would be careful about this play with him as a favorite especially with who he is facing.
Trevor Cahill will make the start for the A's and he is 3-1 all time vs. Texas with 25.2 IP and just 7 ER. However, Oakland will have a hard time supporting him as they face the hot pitcher and they are scoring just 1.67 runs per 9 innings in their last 5 vs. RHP.
Honorable Mention:
Andy Petitte (3-0, 34 IP, 2.12 ERA)
Barry Zito (4-0, 1.53 ERA, 0.88 WHIP)
Brad Penny (3-1, 34.2 IP, 1.56 ERA, 1.18 WHIP)
Cold Starters:
Charlie Morton (0-5, 19.1 IP, 12.57 ERA, 2.17 WHIP)
Morton is a pitcher I know a lot about as I faced him back in high school in one of the most memorable games of my high school career. He is one of the strangest pitchers with loads of talent drafted out of high school. Why is he one of the weirdest pitchers well he had one of the biggest discrepancies between road and home ERA. His home ERA last year in Pittsburgh was 3.10, but on the road it was 6.04. Same goes for day and night starts. During the day an awful 7.62 ERA, but during night starts a 3.42 ERA.
Don't punch in the Cubs tomorrow it gets weirder in terms of night and day with his starts. He had two starts vs. the Cubs and in the first he went just 1 IP gave up 10 ER. In his next start he threw a complete game shut out. Both of these starts were on the road so it's not as easy as backing him at home/night and fading him away/day. Tomorrow he'll make a home/night start so if you were to back him the value is at it's highest as he has an awful ERA, but has only started one time at home.
Ice Cold:
Doug Davis (22.1 IP 8.87 ERA 2.15 WHIP)
Porcello (2-2, 24.2 IP, 8.03 ERA, 1.91 WHIP)
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